Reel by Luke Davis
The Fed doesn’t literally print money, they create it digitally through bond purchases (QE) or destroy it by letting bonds mature (QT). Here’s what matters for your portfolio right now: we’re in a transitional phase. QT officially ended, but QE hasn’t started yet. This is the in-between zone where liquidity isn’t expanding but it’s also stopped contracting. Historically, this phase creates choppiness - assets don’t have the tailwind of fresh liquidity, but they’re also not fighting active drainage. Bitcoin’s current struggle below $100K makes sense in this context. The real question is timing: when does the Fed shift back to QE, and what catalyzes it? Because that’s when the next major liquidity wave begins. Right now, we’re waiting.
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